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The risky become riskier and the relatively safe become relatively safer (which is not necessarily to say safe in absolute terms).

Negative interest rates and the war on cash are symptoms of such a limit being reached. This is where we find ourselves at the moment — on the cusp of phase two of the credit crunch, sliding into the same unavoidable constellation of conditions we saw in 2008, but on a much larger scale.

Interest rates have remained at extremely low levels, hardly distinguishable from zero, for the several years.

In many locations, notably those perceived to be safe havens, the benchmark is moving from a zero interest rate policy to a negative interest rate policy (NIRP), initially for bank reserves, but potentially for business clients (for instance in ). Punishing savers, while effectively encouraging banks to lend to weaker, and therefore riskier, borrowers, creates incentives for both borrowers and lenders to continue the very behaviour that set the stage for financial crisis in the first place, while punishing the kind of responsibility that might have prevented it. During expansionary times, when risk perception is low almost across the board (despite actual risk steadily increasing), the risk premium that interest rates represent shows relatively little variation between different lenders, and little volatility.

For instance, the interest rates on sovereign bonds across Europe, prior to financial crisis, were low and broadly similar for many years.

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